‘Anyone who could be infected will also be infected’: researchers see Omikron peak reached in US and UK – knowledge

US scientists see a turnaround in the fight against the highly contagious corona mutant Omikron. “She [die Mutante] will come back as fast as it has risen, “Ali Mokdad, public health expert and professor at the University of Washington in Seattle, told the AP news agency.

Models from the university predict a peak in the number of infections in the United States by January 19 – with an average of 1.2 million cases per day. After that, the numbers would drop significantly, “simply because anyone who might be infected will also be infected,” says Mokdad.

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With late reports over the weekend, U.S. health officials counted more than 1.4 million new cases of corona as of Monday, The New York Times reports. New infections, hospital admissions and deaths continue to increase every day. A turning point in the corona pandemic, as announced by Ali Mokdad, currently seems unimaginable.

American modeler: many people will still be infected

Unlike the United States, the United Kingdom appears to be passing the corona pandemic. At the end of the year, the government reported an increase in the number – with in some cases more than 200,000 cases of corona per day. The seven-day incidence has fallen again since January 1. Last Friday, only 104,000 corona cases were counted. The hospitalization rate is down slightly.

Despite the positive forecasts, experts stress that the pandemic is unpredictable and that no long-term statements can be made. Lauren Ancel Meyers, a Covid-19 modeler at the University of Texas at Austin, told the AP news agency that large numbers of people would continue to be infected with the corona virus. Nonetheless, she also expects the number of corona infections to peak in the United States – and already this week.

[Lesen Sie auch: “Omikron auf sehr schnellem Vormarsch: ‘Eine sehr viel größere Bedrohung als Delta'”(T+)]

Likewise, says Jake Lemieux, an infectious disease specialist at Massachusetts General Hospital and professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School, “I think the winter will be tough, but the climax. [der Omikron-Welle] seems to be in the coming weeks, ”he told the Harvard Gazette.

“The Omikron wave lasted a few weeks in South Africa,” Lemieux continued. “I could imagine that this wave in the United States would last that long, maybe even a little longer.”

The withdrawal of the omicron variant could signify a new phase in the corona pandemic. This is also partly evident at the local level. This is how Joseph Allen, a professor at the Harvard School of Public Health, sees the peak of corona cases in Boston.

US cities report drop in corona cases

On Saturday, Allen predicted a “sharp drop” in viral loads in sewage – a common way to study the spread of the crown in cities. Three days later, he shared another graph of the viral load in the city’s wastewater on the east coast of the United States: “It’s going as planned.”

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